Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.344507 0.399644 0.457638 0.522895 0.593999 0.668854 0.753345
2025-01-19 0.273121 0.349887 0.435610 0.537278 0.653442 0.780970 0.930502
2025-01-26 0.223809 0.314921 0.422393 0.555797 0.714319 0.894225 1.111398
2025-02-02 0.185810 0.286452 0.411458 0.573107 0.771792 1.003597 1.290071
2025-02-09 0.148074 0.251772 0.387683 0.570702 0.803020 1.081079 1.432078
2025-02-16 0.122982 0.229508 0.376195 0.580890 0.847926 1.174353 1.593524
2025-02-23 0.098850 0.204245 0.357170 0.578411 0.874876 1.244670 1.727222
2025-03-02 0.074226 0.173391 0.326277 0.556471 0.873910 1.278290 1.814729
2025-03-09 0.061252 0.158872 0.317064 0.562822 0.909191 1.357387 1.959146
2025-03-16 0.047130 0.139133 0.297319 0.551974 0.919635 1.403518 2.061583
2025-03-23 0.041455 0.134189 0.300240 0.573903 0.975175 1.508978 2.240773
2025-03-30 0.033474 0.122568 0.290675 0.575938 1.002176 1.576520 2.371414
2025-04-06 0.026532 0.111545 0.281215 0.577913 1.029708 1.646267 2.507546
2025-04-13 0.022132 0.105294 0.279439 0.591594 1.074225 1.739532 2.675714
2025-04-20 0.018923 0.101145 0.280964 0.610341 1.126300 1.843649 2.859274
2025-04-27 0.016075 0.097060 0.282071 0.628178 1.177173 1.946651 3.042387
2025-05-04 0.012042 0.087558 0.271307 0.625299 1.196489 2.005858 3.167333
2025-05-11 0.009668 0.082432 0.268735 0.635930 1.236184 2.093741 3.331468
2025-05-18 0.006988 0.074417 0.258935 0.633192 1.254874 2.151954 3.455756
2025-05-25 0.004098 0.062464 0.238445 0.609838 1.240240 2.162041 3.514069
2025-06-01 0.002968 0.058104 0.234766 0.616548 1.272807 2.239765 3.665432
2025-06-08 0.001685 0.050477 0.221822 0.605008 1.275511 2.274022 3.756866
2025-06-15 0.001388 0.050042 0.227126 0.628282 1.334868 2.391224 3.964095